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What will be the outcome of US Congressional hearings on 2024 election interference by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No evidence found • 25%
Evidence of interference but no action • 25%
Evidence leads to policy changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Final reports or conclusions from US Congressional hearings
Story
Putin's Spy Chief Claims Russia Helped Trump Win Election, Hints at Quid Pro Quo
Nov 12, 2024, 12:03 AM
Nikolay Patrushev, Putin's spy chief and presidential aide, has stated that Russia assisted Donald Trump in winning the Presidential election. Patrushev emphasized that Trump now has obligations to fulfill as a result of this assistance. The statement implies a quid pro quo arrangement, with Patrushev making a veiled threat that Trump must deliver on certain commitments made during the election period.
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No significant issues found • 25%
Significant issues found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Indictments • 25%
Convictions • 25%
More Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Reprimand • 25%
Legal referral • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful in preventing interference • 25%
Partially successful • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No interference detected • 25%
New Legislation Passed • 25%
Existing Laws Strengthened • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other Measures • 25%
No hearings held • 25%
Hearings held, no significant findings • 25%
Hearings held, minor reforms recommended • 25%
Hearings held, major reforms recommended • 25%
Trump indicted • 25%
Trump cleared • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Biden administration found at fault • 25%
No fault found • 25%
Mixed findings • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
Leadership changes recommended • 25%
Both policy and leadership changes recommended • 25%
New legislation introduced • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Kimberly Cheatle resigns • 25%
New security protocols implemented • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%