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What will be the outcome of US-Israel discussions on Iran by end of Q1 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement on military action • 25%
Agreement on diplomatic measures • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the US and Israeli governments or verified reports from reputable news agencies
Story
Biden at Joint Base Andrews Opposes Israeli Strike on Iran's Nuclear Sites
Oct 2, 2024, 04:47 PM
President Joe Biden has stated that he does not support an Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear sites. When asked about the prospect of Israel launching a retaliatory strike on sites related to Iran's nuclear program, Biden responded, 'The answer is no.' He added that he is in discussions with the Israelis about their options and emphasized that any response must be proportionate. This statement, made at Joint Base Andrews, comes amid growing tensions following strikes on Israel and Israel's promise to respond to a ballistic missile attack.
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Joint Military Operation • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint military action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Continued diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased Military Cooperation • 25%
New Sanctions on Iran • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement with Iran • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Strike conducted • 25%
Strike planned but not executed • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Discussions abandoned • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
No change in tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful Peace Agreement • 25%
Stalemate/No Agreement • 25%
Escalation of Tensions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased military aid to Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No talks occur • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal peace talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%