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What will be the outcome of diplomatic efforts between the U.S., Israel, and Iran by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased military aid to Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official agreements or announcements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments
Story
Former Israeli PM Bennett Urges Strikes on Iran's Nuclear Sites, Defying Biden's Call for Proportionality
Oct 7, 2024, 07:50 PM
Former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett has called for Israel to strike Iran's nuclear facilities, its leadership, and key economic interests, including oil facilities. Bennett declared, "We must strike Iran's nuclear facilities hard," referring to Iran as the 'Octopus of Terror.' He emphasized that Israel has a 'once in a generation opportunity' to neutralize Iran's nuclear program. His remarks come amid heightened tensions between Israel and Iran, and in response to U.S. President Joe Biden's call for a 'proportionate' Israeli retaliation against Iran.
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Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of threats • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Comprehensive Peace Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
No change in tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No impact • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Ongoing tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions without resolution • 25%
Increased military confrontation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%