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What will be the outcome of diplomatic talks between Iran and Israel by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No talks occur • 25%
Official statements from the governments of Iran and Israel or international mediators
Story
Iran Warns Israel: 'Our Missiles Can Strike Any Target,' Vows Strong Retaliation
Oct 8, 2024, 06:01 AM
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has warned Israel that any attack on Iran's infrastructure would be met with retaliation. Araghchi stated that Iran does not seek conflict or wish to increase tension and war but is fully prepared for war if Israel chooses to 'test our will.' Amid escalating tensions following Iran's missile launches last week in retaliation for Israel's assassinations of senior Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iranian figures, Iran emphasized that its missiles can strike any target and reassured its people of its readiness to defend the country. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Commander also affirmed Iran's peak readiness to respond to enemies and confront any malicious moves from the 'Zionist enemy' with strength, firmness, and decisiveness.
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Successful peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Breakdown with increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful Peace Agreement • 25%
Stalemate/No Agreement • 25%
Escalation of Tensions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal peace talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal peace talks initiated • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
New diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%