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What will be the outcome of U.S. investigations into NGOs by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Investigation launched • 25%
Investigation not launched • 25%
Investigation completed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements or reports from the U.S. government regarding investigations into NGOs
Story
Homan Warns Denver Mayor of Jail Over Deportations, Plans UN Investigation on Border Crisis
Nov 30, 2024, 02:53 PM
Tom Homan, President-elect Donald Trump's pick for border czar, has warned that mayors and governors who obstruct federal immigration enforcement efforts could face legal consequences, including jail time. In remarks, Homan specifically mentioned Denver Mayor Mike Johnston, who has vowed to protect migrants in his city, stating he is willing to put Johnston in jail over his refusal to cooperate with mass deportations. Homan emphasized, "Do not harbor and conceal an illegal alien... because it is a crime. Don't impede us because it's a crime. Don’t obstruct because it's a crime." He also announced that the incoming administration, set to take control on January 20th, plans to investigate foreign countries, the United Nations, and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) for their alleged roles in contributing to the U.S. border crisis. He highlighted that gangs like Tren de Aragua are "on notice" and that people will be held accountable, asserting that law and order will be restored.
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Both found responsible • 25%
NGOs found responsible • 25%
UN found responsible • 25%
Neither found responsible • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
New legislation introduced • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Other explanation • 25%
Identified domestic operator • 25%
Identified foreign operator • 25%
Operator remains unidentified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Bolsonaro found not guilty • 25%
Bolsonaro found guilty • 25%
Major violations • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Minor violations • 25%
Formally charged • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Investigation closed without charges • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Formal investigation initiated • 25%
Legal reforms proposed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Gang identified but not apprehended • 25%
Gang identified and apprehended • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Identified as domestic • 25%
Other • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Identified as foreign • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decree found unconstitutional • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Decree found legal • 25%
Identified as domestic activity • 25%
Identified as hobbyist activity • 25%
Cause remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%