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What will be the outcome of Ukrainian operations in Kursk by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukrainian forces withdraw successfully • 25%
Ukrainian forces face significant losses • 25%
Russian logistics significantly disrupted • 25%
Stalemate with no significant outcome • 25%
Reports from Ukrainian and Russian governments, verified by major news outlets
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Ukraine Conducts Defensive Operations in Kursk to Disrupt Russian Logistics
Aug 13, 2024, 11:35 AM
Thousands of Ukrainian soldiers are engaged in operations in Russia's Kursk region, with no intention to occupy the area, according to an unnamed Ukrainian official. The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry describes the operation as defensive, aiming to disrupt Russian logistics and divert troops from the Donetsk region. Ukraine's MFA spokesperson, Tykhyi, emphasized that the focus is on protecting Ukrainian lives, as Russian forces have launched over 2,000 strikes on Sumy Oblast since summer, using 255 guided bombs and over 100 missiles. The ongoing operation is intended to neutralize threats from Russian strikes on Ukrainian territory, not to gain land.
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Ukraine captures significant territory • 25%
Russia repels all attacks • 25%
Stalemate with minor territorial changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Ukraine retains control of captured territories • 25%
Russia reclaims all territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine gains control of Kursk • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels Ukrainian offensive • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian forces take additional territory • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold current territory • 25%
Russian forces reclaim some territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ukraine captures significant territory • 25%
Russia retains control of most areas • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine controls Kursk • 25%
Russia retains control of Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire in Kursk region • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold captured territory • 25%
Russian forces recapture all territory • 25%
Stalemate with contested areas • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Buffer zone established • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor territorial gains • 25%
No territorial gains • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Ukraine maintains control • 25%
Russia retakes all lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Mutual withdrawal under a ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels the offensive • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%