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What will be the outcome of Ukraine's counteroffensive in the Kursk region by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine gains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official military statements
Story
Biden Administration Approves ATACMS for Ukraine Amid Rising Tensions with Russia; Pantsir-S1 and Nebo-M Radar Targeted
Jan 2, 2025, 11:05 AM
The Biden administration has approved the use of long-range ATACMS missiles for Ukraine, a move that marks a shift in U.S. policy amid rising tensions with Russia. This decision allows Ukraine to strike deep within Russian territory, potentially undermining Russian command centers and air defenses. The approval comes as Russia has lowered its nuclear threshold, indicating heightened concerns about the escalation of the conflict. Recent military actions by Ukraine have included successful HIMARS strikes on Russian air defense systems, including the Pantsir-S1, valued at approximately $15 million, and the Nebo-M radar station, which is estimated to be worth around $100 million. These developments occur as Ukraine continues its counteroffensive in the Kursk region, while Russia warns against the use of Western weaponry in the ongoing conflict.
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Russian forces regain territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Ukrainian control solidified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Significant Ukrainian gains • 25%
Minor Ukrainian gains • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significant Russian counterattack • 25%
Ukraine expands control further into Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russian defense holds • 25%
Ukrainian advance • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Russia regains control over all contested territories • 25%
Ukraine gains control over additional territories • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Territorial loss • 25%
No change • 25%
Minor territorial gain • 25%
Significant territorial gain • 25%
Ukrainian forces gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Russian forces retain control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russians reclaim 200 square kilometers • 25%
Ukrainians gain 200 square kilometers • 25%
Ukrainians gain 500 square kilometers • 25%
Encirclement • 25%
Diversionary tactics • 25%
Direct assault • 25%
Guerrilla tactics • 25%
