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What will be the outcome of the Ukrainian offensive in Kursk by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official statements from Ukrainian and Russian governments
Story
Ukraine Launches Surprise Offensive in Russia's Kursk Region
Jan 6, 2025, 04:20 AM
Ukrainian forces have launched a surprise offensive in Russia's Kursk region, advancing towards Bolshoye Soldatskoye near Sudzha. Reports indicate that Ukrainian armored units are making progress, having achieved tactical successes, and have effectively neutralized Russian UAVs through electronic warfare. Russian sources acknowledge the offensive, stating that their forces are engaged in fierce battles to repel Ukrainian advances and claiming to have inflicted up to 340 casualties on Ukrainian forces in Kursk. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky commented on the actions in Kursk, stating, 'Kursk, good news, Russia is getting what it deserves.'
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Ukrainian control solidified • 25%
Russian forces regain territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Significant Russian counterattack • 25%
Minor Ukrainian gains • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Russia regains all lost territory • 25%
Ukraine expands control further into Kursk • 25%
Significant Ukrainian gains • 25%
Ukrainian forces gain control • 25%
Russian forces retain control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine gains control over additional territories • 25%
Russia regains control over all contested territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Ukrainian advance • 25%
Russian defense holds • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Ukrainians gain 500 square kilometers • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russians reclaim 200 square kilometers • 25%
Ukrainians gain 200 square kilometers • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukraine gains control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Minor territorial gain • 25%
Territorial loss • 25%
Significant territorial gain • 25%
No change • 25%
Ukrainian defense holds • 25%
Partial Russian victory • 25%
Ongoing conflict with no clear outcome • 25%
Complete Russian victory • 25%
Direct assault • 25%
Guerrilla tactics • 25%
Diversionary tactics • 25%
Encirclement • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%