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What actions will Israel take in response to Trump's ultimatum by January 20, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Hamas•Trump•Israel•Adam Boehler•Hostage Affairs•Fox•Biden•Middle East•Gaza•Office•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military action • 25%
Increased negotiations • 25%
No significant change in approach • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or credible international news agencies
Story
Trump Warns Hamas of 'Hell to Pay' if Hostages Not Released Before Inauguration
Dec 9, 2024, 08:44 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a strong ultimatum regarding the release of hostages held by Hamas, stating that there would be severe consequences if they are not freed before his inauguration on January 20, 2025. Trump's comments have intensified discussions and negotiations between Israel and Hamas, with reports suggesting that Hamas feels the pressure. Adam Boehler, nominated for Hostage Affairs, emphasized on Fox that the Biden administration's lack of cooperation with Israel from the outset could have prevented the hostage situation. Trump's envoy to the Middle East has also warned that the day of inauguration would be 'not pretty' if the hostages remain in captivity, and expressed hope for a ceasefire in Gaza before the inauguration. Trump's exact words were, 'If the hostages are not released prior to January 20, 2025, the date that I proudly assume Office as President of the United States, there will be ALL HELL TO PAY in the Middle East. RELEASE THE HOSTAGES NOW!'
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Military de-escalation • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other diplomatic measures • 25%
Increase aid trucks to 350 per day • 25%
Open a new fifth crossing • 25%
Implement additional humanitarian pauses • 25%
No significant actions taken • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Significant policy changes • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased restrictions • 25%
Israel meets demands, no aid suspension • 25%
Israel does not meet demands, aid suspended • 25%
Partial compliance, no aid suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Positive response with action • 25%
Positive response without action • 25%
Negative response • 25%
No response • 25%
Israel issues an official apology • 25%
Israel offers compensation to victims' families • 25%
Israel takes no action • 25%
Israel escalates military actions • 25%
Commitment to ending conflict • 25%
Criticism of Trump's stance • 25%
Focus on Israel's security • 25%
No public response • 25%
Condemnation of Trump's warning • 25%
Support for Trump's warning • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Complete withdrawal of military forces and settlers • 25%
Partial withdrawal of military forces and settlers • 25%
No withdrawal of military forces and settlers • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel complies fully • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
No compliance • 25%
U.S. takes no action • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
Condemnation of Trump's stance • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
No significant response • 25%