Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's Social Security reforms by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Reform passed • 25%
Reform rejected • 25%
Reform postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Legislative records or official government announcements
Story
President-Elect Trump to Launch Mass Deportations, Pardon January 6 Rioters, as World Reacts to Second Term
Nov 10, 2024, 04:12 PM
President-Elect Donald Trump plans to initiate mass deportations of millions of undocumented migrants on his first day in office, with migrants unlikely to find refuge in neighboring Canada. He also intends to pardon January 6 rioters and seek the dismissal of his own criminal cases. The world is preparing for his second term, facing challenges such as Social Security reform, normalizing relations in the Middle East, and addressing Ukraine's hopes by appealing to his dealmaking instincts.
View original story
Similar markets
Passed into law • 25%
Rejected by Congress • 25%
Stalled in committee • 25%
Withdrawn by Trump • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase in benefits • 25%
Decrease up to 10% • 25%
Decrease more than 10% • 25%
Majority believe it will harm Social Security • 25%
Majority believe it will not affect Social Security • 25%
Majority believe it will improve Social Security • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Passed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Tied • 25%
No vote • 25%
Increases national debt • 25%
Benefits wealthier seniors • 25%
Minimal gains for poorest • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase by $2.3 trillion • 25%
Increase by less than $2.3 trillion • 25%
Increase by more than $2.3 trillion • 25%
No change • 25%
No changes made • 25%
Pension indexation revised • 25%
Other budgetary changes • 25%
Multiple changes including pensions • 25%
Passed by both House and Senate • 25%
Passed by House only • 25%
Not passed by either • 25%
Vetoed by President • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
21% to 33% • 25%
More than 33% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
