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Market
How will countries react to Trump's Middle East policies by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Normalization with Israel • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant changes • 25%
Official diplomatic statements or actions from relevant countries
Story
President-Elect Trump to Launch Mass Deportations, Pardon January 6 Rioters, as World Reacts to Second Term
Nov 10, 2024, 04:12 PM
President-Elect Donald Trump plans to initiate mass deportations of millions of undocumented migrants on his first day in office, with migrants unlikely to find refuge in neighboring Canada. He also intends to pardon January 6 rioters and seek the dismissal of his own criminal cases. The world is preparing for his second term, facing challenges such as Social Security reform, normalizing relations in the Middle East, and addressing Ukraine's hopes by appealing to his dealmaking instincts.
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Strengthened military support • 25%
Imposed diplomatic sanctions • 25%
Facilitated peace agreements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Improved alliances • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic agreements • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
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No significant response • 25%
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Neutral • 25%
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Condemnatory • 25%
Peace agreements • 25%
Economic development • 25%
Military alliances • 25%
Combating antisemitism • 25%
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Support from some countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%
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Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
Condemnation from adversaries • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Increase in sales • 25%
Decrease in sales • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Policy under review • 25%