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Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's proposal for Canada to join the U.S. by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted by both nations • 25%
Rejected by Canada • 25%
Rejected by the U.S. • 25%
No official action taken • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. and Canadian governments
Story
Trump Repeats Call for Canada as 51st State, Citing Trade Deficits
Jan 6, 2025, 06:16 PM
Former U.S. President Donald Trump has once again floated the idea of Canada becoming the 51st state of the United States. In recent statements, Trump claimed that "many people in Canada love being the 51st state" and suggested that merging the two nations would eliminate trade deficits and subsidies that "Canada needs to stay afloat." He emphasized that unification would reduce taxes, eliminate tariffs, and enhance security against threats from Russian and Chinese ships. Trump declared, "What a great nation it would be!" highlighting the potential economic and security benefits of a U.S.-Canada union.
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Formal rejection by Canada • 25%
Formal discussions initiated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No official response • 25%
Proposal formally rejected • 25%
Canada becomes a U.S. state • 25%
Proposal under consideration • 25%
No formal action taken • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%