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What will be the outcome of Trump's policy towards Israel by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened military support • 25%
Imposed diplomatic sanctions • 25%
Facilitated peace agreements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Analysis from major political and international relations think tanks
Story
Trump Aims for Swift End to Wars with Decisive Victory for Israel Following Election Win on November 5
Nov 7, 2024, 01:00 PM
A spokesperson for President-elect Donald Trump stated that Trump aims to end ongoing wars as soon as possible, emphasizing the desire for a decisive victory for Israel. This sentiment was echoed by GOP spokeswoman Elizabeth Pipko, who reiterated that Trump's priority is a swift conclusion to conflicts, favoring a strong outcome for Israel. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu views Trump's electoral victory as a favorable development for U.S. policy regarding Israel, according to sources close to him. Meanwhile, there are concerns from some factions, including Arab Americans for Trump, suggesting that Trump may consider imposing an arms embargo on Israel if Netanyahu does not act quickly to resolve the ongoing war.
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Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strengthened US-Israel relations • 25%
Increased tension in Middle East • 25%
Congressional backlash • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Support settlement expansion • 25%
Oppose settlement expansion • 25%
No clear policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without peace agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in antisemitic incidents • 25%
Moderate reduction in antisemitic incidents • 25%
No significant change in antisemitic incidents • 25%
Increase in antisemitic incidents • 25%
Normalization with Israel • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant changes • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
No formal agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreements • 25%
Economic development • 25%
Military alliances • 25%
Combating antisemitism • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tensions arise • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Security • 25%
Economic • 25%
Cultural • 25%
Diplomatic • 25%