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What will be the outcome of Trump's Iran policy by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis and reports from credible international relations think tanks and news agencies
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Trump Considers Grenell for Iran Envoy, Signals Hardline Policy Despite Denial
Dec 12, 2024, 07:54 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering appointing Richard Grenell, his former intelligence chief and ex-ambassador to Germany, as a special envoy for Iran. Grenell, who has been described as a 'star' by Trump, is expected to engage with regional and international stakeholders regarding Iran. However, Grenell has denied these reports, indicating that the information is incorrect. Trump's choice of Grenell, if confirmed, would signal a continuation of a hardline policy towards Iran, potentially reviving the 'maximum pressure' strategy against the country.
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