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What will be the outcome of Trump's military action against Mexican cartels by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful with significant disruption • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Failure with no significant impact • 25%
No military action taken • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government and international news coverage
Story
Trump Declares War on Mexican Cartels, Promises No Mercy and Death Penalty for Traffickers
Nov 9, 2024, 02:20 AM
Donald Trump has announced a plan to combat the drug epidemic in the United States by declaring war on Mexican drug cartels. In a series of statements, he emphasized that there will be no mercy shown to the cartels, asserting that they will not be able to operate freely. Trump proposed deploying military assets, including the U.S. Navy, to impose a naval embargo on cartel activities. He also indicated that he would seek legislation from Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and human traffickers face the death penalty. Trump's remarks highlight a tough stance on drug trafficking, which he claims is responsible for significant harm to American families and communities.
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Significant reduction in drug trafficking • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in drug trafficking • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground Troops • 25%
Naval Blockade • 25%
No Military Action • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Special forces deployment • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Significant disruption of cartel operations • 25%
Minimal impact on cartel operations • 25%
No operations conducted • 25%
Operations lead to diplomatic tensions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Naval Embargo • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
Ground Troops • 25%
Cyber Operations • 25%
Significant reduction in gang activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in gang activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in gang activity • 25%
Significant reduction in operations • 25%
Moderate reduction in operations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in operations • 25%
Significant reduction in drug use • 25%
No significant change in drug use • 25%
Increase in drug use • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Special forces deployment • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Undercover operations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Covert operations • 25%