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What will be the outcome of Trump's dialogue with North Korea by end of 2025?
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South Korea•National Intelligence Service•NIS•Donald Trump•North Korean•Trump•Kim•North Korea•Richard Grenell•Alex Wong•White House
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete Denuclearization Agreement • 25%
Small Deal on Nuclear Program • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the US or North Korean governments, credible news sources
Story
Trump May Seek Dialogue with Kim Jong-un Post-January 20 Inauguration, 'Small Deal' on Nuclear Program: South Korea's Intelligence
Jan 13, 2025, 10:15 AM
South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS) has indicated that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump may seek dialogue with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un following his inauguration on January 20. The NIS suggests that Trump views his previous summits with Kim as major achievements from his first term and could pursue a 'small deal' on North Korea's nuclear program if complete denuclearization in a short period is deemed unfeasible. The agency also noted that Trump's appointment of Richard Grenell as a special envoy and Alex Wong as a key White House adviser could facilitate such dialogue. Additionally, the NIS mentioned that North Korea has taken a hardline stance against the incoming Trump administration, as evidenced by personnel changes made at the end of last year.
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