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What will be the outcome of TikTok's U.S. policy challenges by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok banned • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok operations restricted • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or credible news reports
Story
ByteDance-owned TikTok CEO Seeks Elon Musk's Counsel on Trump Administration
Nov 24, 2024, 01:40 AM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has sought advice from Elon Musk regarding the incoming Trump administration. Musk, who owns a rival social-media platform and is a close confidant of President-elect Donald Trump, is seen as a potential conduit to the new administration. This outreach comes amid concerns that ByteDance-owned TikTok could face a U.S. ban over national security issues. TikTok executives view Musk's insights as critical in navigating the potential policy challenges posed by the new administration, WSJ reports.
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Banned • 25%
Restricted but not banned • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban Implemented • 25%
Major Restrictions • 25%
Minor Restrictions • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Law Upheld • 33%
Law Struck Down • 33%
Compromise Reached • 33%
TikTok Banned • 25%
TikTok Not Banned • 25%
ByteDance Divests TikTok • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
TikTok Banned • 33%
TikTok Sold • 33%
TikTok Remains Operational • 33%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Case is dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Challenges upheld • 33%
Challenges rejected • 33%
Case unresolved • 33%
TikTok wins • 25%
Attorneys general win • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok sold to a US company • 33%
TikTok continues without changes • 33%