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What will be the outcome of the U.S. request to halt IDF airstrikes on Beirut by December 31, 2024?
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Joe Biden•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Beirut•Lebanon•Israel•Iran•Hezbollah•Channel 11
Resolution / Starting Odds
IDF resumes airstrikes • 25%
IDF permanently halts airstrikes • 25%
Limited airstrikes resume • 25%
No change in current status • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. or Israeli governments or verified reports from major news outlets
Story
IDF Halts Beirut Airstrikes After Biden's Request Amid 200 Missile Attack
Oct 13, 2024, 06:51 PM
Following a call between U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have halted airstrikes on Beirut for the past three days. This decision appears to be in compliance with a U.S. request to limit attacks on Lebanon's capital. Reports suggest that this halt may be part of a broader understanding between the U.S. and Israel regarding potential strikes on Iran. However, conflicting statements have emerged from Israeli officials, with some denying any restrictions on IDF operations in Beirut and asserting the freedom to act against targets anywhere in Lebanon. Despite the halt in Beirut, operations continue in southern Lebanon, including strikes on Hezbollah positions. The halt follows a 200 missile attack on Israel. Israeli Channel 11 reported the political echelon's directive to freeze attacks in Beirut.
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Similar markets
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial reduction in hostilities • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
Military aid to Lebanon • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Successful - No strikes on Beirut or southern suburbs • 25%
Partial success - Limited strikes on non-civilian infrastructure • 25%
Unsuccessful - Significant strikes on Beirut or southern suburbs • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations failed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire, but no formal agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant reduction in Hezbollah attacks • 25%
No change in Hezbollah attacks • 25%
Increase in Hezbollah attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah maintains current strength • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement Signed • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%
Agreement Rejected • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified and Accepted • 25%
No Decision • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Moderate damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Significant damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Hezbollah • 25%
Call for peace talks • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel achieves significant military objectives • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%