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What will be the outcome of the UNIFIL investigation into the Naqoura base attack by March 31, 2025?
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Austrian UN•UNIFIL•Naqoura•Lebanon•Israeli•Austria•Hezbollah•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hallousiyyeh El Faouqa
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah responsible • 25%
Another group responsible • 25%
Unknown perpetrator • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Official report or statement from UNIFIL or the United Nations
Story
Eight Austrian UN Peacekeepers Injured in Rocket Strike on UNIFIL's Naqoura Base; Hezbollah Suspected
Oct 29, 2024, 03:09 PM
Eight Austrian UN peacekeepers were injured in a rocket strike on UNIFIL's headquarters in Naqoura, southern Lebanon, near the Israeli border, according to Austria's defense ministry. The injuries were slight and superficial, with none requiring urgent medical attention. The rocket, which set a vehicle workshop on fire, was fired from north of UNIFIL's headquarters, likely by Hezbollah or an affiliated group, UNIFIL said in a statement. The peacekeepers were not in bunkers at the time of the attack. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) stated that Hezbollah launched the rocket from the Hallousiyyeh El Faouqa area and confirmed Hezbollah's responsibility for the attack. UNIFIL has opened an investigation into the incident.
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Deliberate Attack • 25%
Accidental Attack • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No Report Issued • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Hezbollah found responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Other parties found responsible • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Israel not found responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No report issued • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Hezbollah provoked attack • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Hezbollah found responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Attack attributed to another party • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No official investigation • 25%
Perpetrator identified • 25%
Perpetrator not identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Mandate change recommended • 25%
Operational changes recommended • 25%
No changes recommended • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah confirmed as sole perpetrator • 25%
Hezbollah and another group involved • 25%
Attack attributed to another group • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
UNIFIL withdrawn • 25%
UNIFIL remains with increased security • 25%
UNIFIL remains unchanged • 25%
UNIFIL mandate expanded • 25%