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What will be the outcome of the Trump-Putin meeting regarding Ukraine by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the White House, Kremlin, or major news outlets
Story
Trump to Meet Putin 'Very Quickly' After January 20 Inauguration, First Since Ukraine War
Jan 14, 2025, 05:39 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin 'very quickly' following his inauguration on January 20. This meeting would mark the first interaction between the leaders of the U.S. and Russia since the onset of Russia's war with Ukraine in February 2022. In discussions about his strategy to end the conflict, Trump emphasized that the resolution depends on Putin, noting that the Russian leader is 'unhappy with how things are going in Ukraine.' Trump also mentioned that Putin is keen on holding talks, indicating a mutual interest in dialogue.
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Meeting does not occur • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Agreement in principle • 25%
No agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, talks stalled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement, further talks planned • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Full Agreement Reached • 25%
Meeting Postponed/Cancelled • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Continued Negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%