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Outcome of Trump-Putin Meeting on Ukraine War by April 30, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Meeting Postponed/Cancelled • 25%
Official announcements from the US or Russian governments or credible news sources
Story
Trump and Putin to Meet to Discuss Ending Ukraine War; Kremlin Confirms Talks
Jan 10, 2025, 09:50 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that a meeting is being arranged between him and Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. Speaking at Mar-a-Lago on Thursday, Trump said, 'He wants to meet, and we're setting it up.' The incoming president expressed a desire to 'end this war' and referred to the conflict as 'a bloody mess.' The Kremlin confirmed that Putin is open to talks with Trump without preconditions. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia welcomes Trump's readiness to solve problems through dialogue and that preparations for the meeting will begin once Trump officially takes office on January 20.
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Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting canceled • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Agreement in principle • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting postponed or canceled • 25%
No agreement, continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement, talks break down • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Negotiations • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
China supports ceasefire • 25%
China agrees to mediate • 25%