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What will be the outcome of the SEC's settlement demand against Elon Musk by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Settlement with monetary penalty • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the SEC or court filings
Story
Elon Musk Faces SEC Settlement Demand Within 48 Hours, Alleges Political Motives
Dec 13, 2024, 12:41 AM
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued a settlement demand to Elon Musk, requiring him to either pay a monetary penalty or face charges on numerous accounts within 48 hours. Musk's lawyer, Alex Spiro, has accused the SEC of harassment and suggested that the demand might be politically motivated, potentially involving the Biden White House. This latest confrontation adds to a history of disputes between Musk and the SEC, which includes previous legal actions over Musk's tweets about taking Tesla private and his involvement with Neuralink. The SEC's actions are seen by some as part of a broader campaign against Musk, who has openly criticized the regulatory body.
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Investigation ongoing • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Other penalties imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Accept settlement • 25%
No public response • 25%
Negotiate different settlement • 25%
Reject settlement and fight charges • 25%
Operational Restrictions Imposed • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Formal Charges Filed • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other legal actions • 25%
Publicly criticize without legal action • 25%
File a countersuit • 25%
Seek settlement • 25%
Dismissal • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Litigation • 25%
Ongoing Negotiations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New charges • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
No further action • 25%