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Will Elon Musk publicly accuse the Biden administration of influencing SEC actions by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements from Elon Musk or his legal team
Story
Elon Musk Faces SEC Settlement Demand Within 48 Hours, Alleges Political Motives
Dec 13, 2024, 12:41 AM
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued a settlement demand to Elon Musk, requiring him to either pay a monetary penalty or face charges on numerous accounts within 48 hours. Musk's lawyer, Alex Spiro, has accused the SEC of harassment and suggested that the demand might be politically motivated, potentially involving the Biden White House. This latest confrontation adds to a history of disputes between Musk and the SEC, which includes previous legal actions over Musk's tweets about taking Tesla private and his involvement with Neuralink. The SEC's actions are seen by some as part of a broader campaign against Musk, who has openly criticized the regulatory body.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publicly criticize without legal action • 25%
Other legal actions • 25%
Seek settlement • 25%
File a countersuit • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Accept settlement • 25%
No public response • 25%
Reject settlement and fight charges • 25%
Negotiate different settlement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other penalties imposed • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No further action • 25%
Other • 25%
New charges • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%