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Will Elon Musk settle with the SEC by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the SEC or Elon Musk's legal team
Story
Elon Musk Faces SEC Settlement Demand Within 48 Hours, Alleges Political Motives
Dec 13, 2024, 12:41 AM
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued a settlement demand to Elon Musk, requiring him to either pay a monetary penalty or face charges on numerous accounts within 48 hours. Musk's lawyer, Alex Spiro, has accused the SEC of harassment and suggested that the demand might be politically motivated, potentially involving the Biden White House. This latest confrontation adds to a history of disputes between Musk and the SEC, which includes previous legal actions over Musk's tweets about taking Tesla private and his involvement with Neuralink. The SEC's actions are seen by some as part of a broader campaign against Musk, who has openly criticized the regulatory body.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Complies with sanctions • 25%
Files an appeal • 25%
Settles with SEC • 25%
Other response • 25%
Accept settlement • 25%
Reject settlement and fight charges • 25%
Negotiate different settlement • 25%
No public response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No sanctions • 25%
Monetary fines • 25%
Suspension from board positions • 25%
Other sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
