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What will be the outcome of the rebel offensive near Damascus by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Government forces repel rebels • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Verified reports from major news agencies such as Reuters or BBC
Story
Syrian Rebels Advance to Within 10 Kilometers of Damascus Suburbs
Dec 7, 2024, 01:16 PM
Syrian rebel forces have reportedly advanced to the suburbs of Damascus as part of a significant military offensive. The rebels have taken control of the town of Al-Sanamayn in southern Syria, located approximately 20 kilometers from the capital, and are now as close as 10 kilometers from the southern gate of Damascus. Opposition sources indicate that the operation involves coordinated attacks from multiple fronts, with reinforcements being deployed from both the north and south. Reports suggest that Syrian government forces are retreating from some positions near Damascus without resistance. This marks a notable escalation in the conflict, as the rebels aim to approach the capital amid ongoing hostilities.
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Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Stalemate ensues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rebels control Damascus • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Rebels fully encircle Damascus • 25%
Rebels partially encircle Damascus • 25%
Rebels fail to encircle Damascus • 25%
Rebels retreat from Damascus • 25%
Rebels fully encircle Damascus • 25%
Government regains lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Assad Regime retains control • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebels gain significant territory • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Assad regains control • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Rebels encircle but do not capture Damascus • 25%
Government retains control of Damascus • 25%
Stalemate with no decisive control • 25%
Rebels gain control of Aleppo • 25%
Government forces repel rebels • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rebels gain control of Damascus • 25%
Rebels make significant gains but not Damascus • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Government regains lost ground • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Rebels halted before reaching Damascus • 25%
Rebels retreat • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Rebels take full control • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
Control fluctuates • 25%
Rebels gain significant territory • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Government forces regain control • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%