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What will be the outcome of the Philippines' response to the Sabina Shoal incident by the end of 2024?
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United States•China•South China Sea•Chinese Coast Guard•Philippine•Sabina Shoal•Chinese•Philippine Coast Guard•Philippines
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal protest lodged with international bodies • 25%
Increased naval patrols in the area • 25%
Engagement in diplomatic talks with China • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Official statements from the Philippine government or verified reports from reputable news agencies
Story
US Condemns China's Dangerous Actions Near Sabina Shoal Collision
Aug 19, 2024, 11:05 PM
The United States has issued a strong condemnation of China's actions in the South China Sea, where Chinese Coast Guard vessels reportedly engaged in aggressive maneuvers against Philippine vessels. The incident, which occurred near Sabina Shoal, involved the Chinese ships deliberately colliding with two Philippine Coast Guard vessels. The U.S. State Department described these actions as 'dangerous' and 'reckless,' underscoring the tensions in the region. The Philippines has not accused the Chinese ships of ramming but attributes the collision to the aggressive maneuvers by the Chinese Coast Guard.
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China backs down • 25%
Philippines backs down • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
United Nations sanctions China • 25%
ASEAN issues a joint statement • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other significant international response • 25%
Victory for the Philippines • 25%
Victory for China • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
UN sanctions on China • 25%
UN sanctions on Philippines • 25%
UN sanctions on both • 25%
No UN sanctions • 25%
Philippines gains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Ongoing standoff • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
ASEAN statement • 25%
U.S. military support • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Condemnation of China • 25%
Condemnation of Philippines • 25%
Call for peace talks • 25%
No official response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Philippines removes vessel • 25%
Philippines maintains vessel • 25%
Joint management agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Continued Standoff • 25%
Military Engagement • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%