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What will be the outcome of the opposition's claims on the 2024 election by January 2026?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Opposition's claims validated • 25%
Opposition's claims rejected • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Court rulings or official statements from the Venezuelan government or international bodies
Story
Maduro Sworn In for Third Term Until 2031 Amid Opposition Claims of Fraud
Jan 10, 2025, 02:54 PM
On January 10, 2025, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, in power since 2013, was sworn in for a third term, extending his presidency until 2031. The inauguration ceremony took place at the National Assembly in Caracas, where Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez bestowed the presidential sash. Maduro proceeded with the ceremony despite credible evidence of electoral fraud and allegations from the opposition that their candidate, Edmundo González, won the June 28, 2024, election. The opposition accuses Maduro of refusing to release the official vote tallies, known as actas. The inauguration occurred amid widespread protests and international criticism, including demonstrations on the eve of the ceremony. In his speech, Maduro promised that his new term would usher in a period of peace, equality, and democracy.
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Opposition's claim rejected • 25%
No decision reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Opposition's claim upheld • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Challenges upheld • 25%
No significant activity • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Peaceful protests • 25%
Violent clashes • 25%
Vote recount ordered • 25%
Re-election ordered • 25%
Election results upheld • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reversal of results • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Trump's victory upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
New election ordered • 25%
Recount ordered • 25%
Results overturned • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Results upheld • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Protests lead to clashes • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Small-scale protests • 25%
Large-scale protests • 25%
Fraud disproven by independent audit • 25%
No independent audit conducted • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Fraud confirmed by independent audit • 25%
Significant issues found • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
No significant issues found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
