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What will be the outcome of the next significant Hezbollah-Israel confrontation by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Hezbollah Launches Major Drone and 30 Rocket Attack on Northern Israel
Aug 11, 2024, 10:57 PM
Hezbollah has launched a significant drone and rocket attack on Israel from Lebanon. The attack involved dozens of drones targeting the Galilee and Golan Heights, followed by a barrage of over 30 rocket launches aimed at Nahariya and surrounding areas, including the Malkiya site, in northern Israel. The Iron Dome defense system intercepted at least 20 of these rockets, but reports indicate that some missiles struck their targets. The attack has led to sirens and explosions being reported in multiple areas, including Nahariya, Kabri, and the northern Galilee.
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Hostilities • 25%
Major Victory for Israel • 25%
Major Victory for Hezbollah • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
International Mediation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Victory for Israel • 25%
Victory for Hezbollah • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Hezbollah victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
No significant engagement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Hezbollah disarmed • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
IDF Victory • 25%