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What will be the outcome of the next major Israeli attack on Gaza?
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Associated Press•Hamas•Osama Hamdan•Mohammed Deif•Gaza Strip•Israeli•Hamdan•Deif•Israel•CNN•Jim Sciutto•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant Hamas leadership casualties • 25%
Significant civilian casualties • 25%
Significant Hamas infrastructure damage • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Reports from major international news agencies
Story
Hamas Leader Mohammed Deif Survives Israeli Attack That Killed 90, Confirms Osama Hamdan
Aug 18, 2024, 07:55 AM
In a recent interview with the Associated Press, Hamas spokesperson Osama Hamdan confirmed that Mohammed Deif, the military leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip, survived an Israeli attack that reportedly killed 90 others. Hamdan stated that Deif is "fine" despite Israel's claims of having killed him. Additionally, Hamdan was involved in a contentious interview with CNN's Jim Sciutto, where he was questioned about Hamas's responsibility for civilian deaths in Gaza. The interview ended abruptly as Hamdan accused the journalist of viewing the situation through "Israeli eyes" and left the discussion.
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No major attack • 25%
Attack with no IDF casualties • 25%
Attack with 1-3 IDF casualties • 25%
Attack with more than 3 IDF casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
Recovery of hostages • 25%
Destruction of tunnels • 25%
Capture of militants • 25%
Successful with no casualties • 25%
Successful with casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful with no casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful with casualties • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support from US • 25%
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Other • 25%
Destruction of Hamas tunnel • 25%
Airstrikes on Hamas positions • 25%
Capture of key Hamas leaders • 25%
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Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
Successful rescue of hostages • 25%
Failure to rescue hostages • 25%
Significant casualties without rescue • 25%
Operation aborted • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground Invasion • 25%
Naval Blockade • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued airstrikes with increasing casualties • 25%
Decreased airstrikes with fewer casualties • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful destruction of Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Significant Hamas casualties • 25%
Civilian casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
No operation • 25%
Limited operation • 25%
Moderate operation • 25%
Full-scale operation • 25%
Rescue successful, all hostages freed • 25%
Rescue partially successful, some hostages freed • 25%
Rescue attempted but failed • 25%
No rescue operation conducted • 25%