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What will be the outcome of the military escalation between Israel and Hezbollah by January 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Hezbollah gains territory • 25%
Israel gains territory • 25%
Reports from reliable news agencies and official statements from the involved parties
Story
Israel Plans Large-Scale Response to Hezbollah After Drone Attack Kills Four Soldiers at Golani Base
Oct 14, 2024, 04:48 PM
Israel has informed the United States of its plans to deliver a forceful response to Hezbollah following Sunday's deadly drone attack on the Golani Brigade's training base near Binyamina, which resulted in the deaths of four Israeli soldiers. The Israeli Defense Minister has vowed a strong response, and Israeli media reports indicate that the military is preparing a large-scale operation against Hezbollah, possibly including targets in Beirut and potentially broader military action in Lebanon and Iran. The planned response signifies a significant escalation as tensions rise between Israel and Hezbollah.
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
Israeli Victory • 25%
Israel gains significant ground • 25%
Hezbollah gains significant ground • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale military operation • 25%
No military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hezbollah retreat • 25%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Hezbollah victory • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Israel declares victory • 25%
Hezbollah declares victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict with sporadic attacks • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution without ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation to a larger conflict • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-intensity conflict • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%