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Outcome of Israel-Hezbollah conflict by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-intensity conflict • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Reports from major international news outlets and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israeli Army Releases Footage of Golani Brigade Strikes on Hezbollah Compound in Lebanon
Oct 27, 2024, 06:00 AM
The Israeli army has released footage purportedly showing strikes on a Hezbollah underground compound in southern Lebanon. The footage, released on October 26, depicts airstrikes and ground operations by IDF soldiers. The underground facility, located in a forested area, was used to store anti-tank missiles, machine guns, assault rifles, and mortars. Troops from the Golani Brigade discovered the concealed site.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Israel gains significant ground • 25%
Hezbollah gains significant ground • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation into Wider Conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continuation of conflict • 25%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Hezbollah disarmament • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
Israeli Victory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Hostilities • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
Israeli Victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation into war • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict without resolution • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Hezbollah disarmament • 25%
Israeli territorial gains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%