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What will be the outcome of the manhunt for the Lusikisiki mass shootings perpetrators by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
All perpetrators arrested • 25%
Some perpetrators arrested • 25%
No perpetrators arrested • 25%
Perpetrators identified but not arrested • 25%
Eastern Cape police announcements, news reports
Story
Seventeen Killed in Lusikisiki Mass Shootings, Manhunt Underway
Sep 28, 2024, 09:41 AM
Seventeen people were killed in two mass shootings in Lusikisiki, a remote town in South Africa's Eastern Cape, on Friday night. The victims included 15 women and 2 men, with one survivor in critical condition. In one house, 13 people were killed, including 12 women and 1 man. The shootings occurred hours apart at two homes. Eastern Cape police have launched a manhunt for the perpetrators.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All suspects arrested • 25%
Some suspects arrested • 25%
No suspects arrested • 25%
Suspects flee and remain at large • 25%
Suspects arrested and charged • 25%
Suspects identified but not arrested • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Investigation closed with no suspects • 25%
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
None • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
Perpetrators identified and apprehended • 25%
Perpetrators identified but not apprehended • 25%
No suspects identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Gang-related violence • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Robbery • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Perpetrators identified and arrested • 25%
Perpetrators identified but not arrested • 25%
No perpetrators identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Protests and demonstrations • 25%
Calls for policy changes • 25%
Increased police presence • 25%
No significant public response • 25%