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What will be the outcome of the Israel-Hamas prisoner swap deal by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Deal fully executed • 25%
Partial execution • 25%
Deal collapsed • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government and international news reports
Story
Netanyahu Announces Deal with Hamas to Release Israeli Hostages, Includes Ceasefire and Prisoner Swap
Jan 17, 2025, 02:12 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that a deal has been reached to secure the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas in the Gaza Strip. After overcoming last-minute snags, Israeli officials have finalized the agreement, which reportedly includes a ceasefire and prisoner swap. Netanyahu is set to convene his security cabinet and government to approve the agreement, and families of the hostages have been informed about the deal.
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No exchange • 25%
Partial exchange • 25%
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Agreement abandoned • 25%
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Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
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Hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Approved and implemented • 25%
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Hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Hostages not released • 25%
Partial release • 25%