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What will be the outcome of the investigation into the drone espionage over the nuclear plant in Germany by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia confirmed as responsible • 25%
Another country confirmed as responsible • 25%
Non-state actors confirmed as responsible • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Official reports from German prosecutors or government agencies
Story
German Prosecutors Investigate Russian Drone Espionage Over Nuclear Plant from North Sea
Aug 22, 2024, 02:07 PM
German prosecutors have launched an investigation into repeated drone flights over critical infrastructure in northern Germany, suspecting espionage activities. Reports indicate that several drones, including military UAVs, were flown over a nuclear power plant and the largest industrial park in Schleswig-Holstein. The drones are believed to have been launched from the North Sea, raising concerns about potential sabotage. This incident is part of a broader pattern of espionage and sabotage activities reportedly linked to Russia, affecting several European countries.
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Russian agents identified • 25%
Non-state actors identified • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Other state actors identified • 25%
Espionage • 25%
Commercial • 25%
Recreational • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Russian origin confirmed • 25%
Origin confirmed but not Russian • 25%
Origin remains unidentified • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Confirmed Russian involvement • 25%
Confirmed non-Russian involvement • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Foreign State Actor • 25%
Private Entity • 25%
Technical Malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian agents confirmed • 25%
Other foreign agents confirmed • 25%
Domestic actors confirmed • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
US involvement confirmed • 25%
Ukrainian team involvement confirmed • 25%
Other entity involvement confirmed • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukrainian group responsible • 25%
Russian group responsible • 25%
Other group responsible • 25%
No conclusive finding • 25%