Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into Assad family fake passports by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Assad family members charged • 25%
Assad family members cleared • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements or reports from Lebanese authorities or media outlets
Story
Assad Relatives, Including Duraid al-Assad's Wife and Daughter, Arrested at Beirut Airport Attempting to Flee to Cairo with Fake Passports; Syrian Embassy Suspends Services
Dec 29, 2024, 08:00 AM
Two relatives of Bashar al-Assad, the former Syrian president, were arrested at Beirut Airport while attempting to flee Lebanon using allegedly forged passports. The detainees include the wife and daughter of Duraid al-Assad, a cousin of Bashar al-Assad, who were reportedly planning to travel to Cairo, Egypt. This incident has prompted the Syrian embassy in Lebanon to suspend its consular services until further notice, following instructions from the Syrian Foreign Ministry. The embassy has advised expatriates in Lebanon to monitor its official page for updates regarding the resumption of consular activities. This suspension comes amid heightened scrutiny as Lebanese authorities investigate the issuance of fake passports linked to the Assad family members.
View original story
Similar markets
Inconclusive/No finding • 25%
Confirmed assassination attempt • 25%
Natural illness • 25%
Accidental poisoning • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No official response • 25%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%
Official investigation launched • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Deported • 25%
Prosecuted • 25%
Other • 25%
Released • 25%
Conviction for attempted murder • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case dismissed due to mental health • 25%
Confirmed as Adel Gharbal • 25%
Other conclusion • 25%
Confirmed as Salama Mohammad Salama • 25%
Identity remains unconfirmed • 25%
Russian government • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Syrian opposition • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Incomplete findings • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
The report was inaccurate • 25%
The report was accurate • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Foreign government • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Internal Russian entity • 25%