Loading...
Market
What will be the impact on the Philadelphi Corridor after the Rafah tunnel discovery by December 31, 2024?
2
Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Rafah•Philadelphi Corridor•Egypt•Israel•Gaza Strip•Israeli military•Khan Younis
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased security measures • 25%
Closure of the corridor • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Verified news reports and official statements from the IDF and Egyptian government
Story
IDF Discovers 3-Meter-High Smuggling Tunnel in Rafah on Egypt-Gaza Border
Aug 4, 2024, 12:28 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have discovered a massive 3-meter-high smuggling tunnel on the Egypt-Gaza border. The tunnel, which is large enough to accommodate vehicles, was found beneath a mosque in Rafah and runs under the Philadelphi Corridor into Egypt. The IDF has confirmed plans to destroy the tunnel. Egypt has denied knowledge of the tunnel, despite accusations that it was aware of and possibly complicit in the smuggling of weapons and rockets. The discovery follows a series of recent rocket attacks on Israel from the southern Gaza Strip, prompting the Israeli military to call for evacuations in certain neighborhoods of Khan Younis.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 210 • 25%
210 to 220 • 25%
221 to 230 • 25%
More than 230 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Controlled by Israel • 25%
Controlled by Hamas • 25%
Controlled by a third party • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Israel • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Neither • 25%
Reversal of decision • 25%
Decision upheld • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Remains under Israeli control • 25%
Hamas gains control • 25%
International control • 25%
Other • 25%
Reopening agreed • 25%
Partial reopening agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
UN sanctions on Egypt • 25%
EU sanctions on Egypt • 25%
International condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%