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What will be the outcome of the IDF operation at Kamal Adwan Hospital by March 31, 2025?
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Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Kamal Adwan Hospital•Jabalia•Gaza•Shin Bet•Israel Security Agency•Hamas•401st Brigade•162nd Division
Resolution / Starting Odds
IDF successfully clears hospital • 25%
Hamas remains entrenched • 25%
Operation results in stalemate • 25%
Operation leads to ceasefire • 25%
Statements from IDF, international news agencies, and humanitarian organizations
Story
IDF's 401st Brigade Targets Hamas Stronghold at Kamal Adwan Hospital, Safeguards Civilians
Dec 27, 2024, 11:34 AM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have initiated a new operation at Kamal Adwan Hospital in Jabalia, northern Gaza, following intelligence from the IDF and the Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) indicating the presence of Hamas operatives and terrorist infrastructure in the area. The IDF claims that the hospital has been used as a Hamas terrorist stronghold since the onset of the conflict. The operation involves soldiers from the 401st Brigade under the command of the 162nd Division, who are conducting targeted operations while taking measures to safeguard civilians, patients, and medical staff. The IDF has coordinated evacuations with international organizations to minimize harm to non-combatants. The operation follows reports that Hamas has ignored previous evacuation calls and continues to use the hospital for terror activities, in violation of international law.
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No significant international response • 25%
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Evacuation completed • 25%
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Presence of Hamas operatives • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
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Continued presence • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%