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What will be the outcome of the evacuation of Rylsk and Khomutovsky districts by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Completed smoothly • 25%
Partially completed • 25%
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Official announcements from Russian authorities or verified news sources
Story
Russia Orders Evacuation of Rylsk and Khomutovsky Districts Near Ukraine Border
Sep 16, 2024, 12:41 PM
Russian authorities have announced a mandatory evacuation of residents from the Rylsk and Khomutovsky districts in the Kursk region, which are within a 15-kilometer zone from the Ukrainian border. Acting Governor Alexey Smirnov stated that the evacuation is necessary to ensure the safety of civilians amid a potential encirclement threat to 8,000 Russian troops in the region. The newly-created evacuation zone covers 1,100 square kilometers. The evacuation follows a cross-border incursion by Ukrainian forces, which has prompted Russia to evacuate multiple settlements in the area almost six weeks after Ukraine launched its surprise incursion.
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Successful evacuation to Ukraine • 25%
Successful evacuation to Russia • 25%
Partial success with some interference • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
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180,000-200,000 • 25%
200,001-220,000 • 25%
220,001-240,000 • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Surrender • 25%
Captured • 25%
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