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What will be the outcome of the December 16, 2024 confidence vote?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Scholz wins • 33%
Scholz loses • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Official announcement from the Bundestag or reputable news outlets
Story
Chancellor Scholz Requests December 16 Confidence Vote, Paving Way for February 23 Elections
Dec 11, 2024, 01:48 PM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has formally requested a vote of confidence in the Bundestag, submitting his application to Bundestag President Bärbel Bas. The vote is scheduled for December 16 and could pave the way for early federal elections on February 23 if Scholz does not secure the required support. The move comes amidst political instability and the collapse of the current coalition government. Scholz made a public statement, emphasizing the need for stability and clarity for the German people. The Greens' leadership has indicated they will not vote against the government but will clear the way for new elections.
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Vote postponed • 34%
Scholz retains confidence • 33%
Scholz loses confidence • 33%
Government survives • 33%
Government falls • 33%
No vote held • 34%
Scholz loses the vote • 33%
Scholz wins the vote • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Barnier retains position • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Barnier loses position • 25%
Scholz wins the vote • 50%
Scholz loses the vote • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Jordan Bardella • 25%
Michel Barnier • 25%
Marion Maréchal • 25%
Marine Le Pen • 25%
Sánchez retains confidence • 25%
Vote canceled • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Sánchez loses confidence • 25%
Government falls • 33%
Government survives • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Vote passes, Trudeau remains • 25%
Vote fails • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau resigns • 25%
No vote initiated • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Trudeau government survives • 25%
Trudeau government falls • 25%
Motion Passes • 33%
Motion Fails • 33%
Motion Withdrawn • 34%