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What will be the outcome of the confidence vote against Pedro Sánchez by April 30, 2025?
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Carles Puigdemont•Junts per Catalunya•Brussels•Spanish Congress•Pedro Sánchez•Puigdemont•Sánchez•Junts•Congress
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sánchez retains confidence • 25%
Sánchez loses confidence • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Vote canceled • 25%
Voting results from the Spanish Congress
Story
Puigdemont's Junts Registers Motion Demanding Sánchez Face Confidence Vote, Citing Broken Agreements
Dec 9, 2024, 10:43 AM
Carles Puigdemont, leader of Junts per Catalunya, has announced from Brussels that his party has registered an initiative in the Spanish Congress requesting that Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez submit to a motion of confidence. Puigdemont criticized Sánchez for "not being trustworthy" and for "failing to fulfill" the investiture agreement made with Junts. He stated that "one year after" supporting Sánchez's government, "things are not going well" and declared, "the time has come for a turning point or to let it go." Puigdemont also noted that Junts has not yet contacted other parliamentary groups but will seek their support after registering the initiative. The initiative aims to force a debate and vote in Congress on the confidence in Sánchez's leadership.
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Similar markets
Sánchez wins with majority support • 25%
Sánchez wins with minority support • 25%
Sánchez loses the vote • 25%
Vote does not occur • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority support Sánchez • 25%
Majority oppose Sánchez • 25%
Split opinions • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Scholz survives and continues as Chancellor • 25%
Scholz loses and resigns • 25%
Scholz loses but remains temporarily • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
No significant change (+/- 5%) • 25%
Data not available • 25%
No impact • 25%
Resigns as Prime Minister • 25%
Faces legal charges • 25%
Both resigns and faces legal charges • 25%
Government survives • 33%
Government falls • 33%
No vote held • 34%