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What will be the outcome of the conscription protests in Ivano-Frankivsk by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Protests escalate • 25%
Protests diminish • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified news reports from major Ukrainian news outlets
Story
Ivano-Frankivsk Residents Block Army Bus, Protest Conscription Under Zelensky in Krikhivtsy
Aug 17, 2024, 12:31 PM
In Ivano-Frankivsk, Western Ukraine, local residents have blocked roads to prevent a Ukrainian army bus from transporting young men allegedly conscripted against their will to fight in Russia. Reports indicate that residents are rebelling against forced conscription under President Zelensky's regime. The blockade involved surrounding a conscription van and demanding the release of the detained individuals. The incident reportedly took place in Krikhivtsy, a region within Ivano-Frankivsk, where a minibus carrying conscripted men was stopped by locals. The military registration and enlistment office personnel were unable to proceed due to the blockade, leaving without the detained men.
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Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia gains control • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Increased military enrollment • 25%
Public backlash • 25%
Policy revision • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Successful mobilization of all troops • 25%
Partial mobilization (80,000 to 159,999 troops) • 25%
Minimal mobilization (less than 80,000 troops) • 25%
Mobilization fails • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
New peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military actions against Russia • 25%
Calls for international intervention • 25%
Changes in Ukrainian government leadership • 25%
Other response • 25%
Support current policy • 25%
Pressure to lower age • 25%
Encourage other recruitment methods • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
New defensive measures • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine wins • 25%
Russia wins • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine pursues nuclear arms • 25%
Both occur • 25%
Neither occur • 25%
Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels Ukrainian offensive • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian forces retake Vuhledar • 25%
Vuhledar remains under Russian control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%