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What will be the outcome of Ukrainian forces' withdrawal from Vuhledar by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukrainian forces retake Vuhledar • 25%
Vuhledar remains under Russian control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Ukrainian military or verified news sources
Story
Ukrainian Forces Withdraw from Vuhledar Amid Encirclement Threat
Oct 2, 2024, 10:02 AM
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn from the city of Vuhledar in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine, according to military announcements. The higher command authorized the maneuver to withdraw units from Vuhledar "in order to preserve personnel and military equipment" and "to take up positions for further actions," stated OSUV "Khortytsia." The decision comes after two years of defending the city, during which Ukrainian troops were outgunned 10:1. The move was made amid a threat of encirclement.
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Demand fully met • 25%
Demand partially met • 25%
Demand not met • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Re-deployment • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine maintains control of the incursion areas • 25%
Russia regains control of the incursion areas • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
