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What will be the outcome of the investigation into President Yoon's martial law declaration by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No action taken • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
Travel ban only • 25%
President Yoon cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
President Yoon found guilty • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official investigation reports or major news outlets
Story
South Korean Police Raid President Yoon's Office on December 3 Martial Law Investigation as Ex-Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun Attempts Suicide
Dec 11, 2024, 08:13 AM
South Korean police have conducted a raid on President Yoon Suk Yeol's office as part of an ongoing investigation into his recent declaration of martial law, which has sparked significant political turmoil in the country. The raid comes in the wake of the arrest of former Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun, who attempted suicide while in custody. Kim is accused of conspiring with President Yoon to impose martial law, which was briefly enacted last week before being lifted. The police raid also targeted the Seoul Metropolitan Police and National Assembly Police Guards. Reports indicate that security personnel blocked the investigative team from accessing the main building of the presidential office during the raid. The political crisis has intensified as calls for President Yoon's impeachment grow, and protests have erupted outside the National Assembly demanding his removal from office.
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Formal charges filed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No charges • 25%
Censure or reprimand • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Criminal charges recommended • 25%
Major violations found • 25%
Minor violations found • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Charged with lesser offense • 25%
No charges • 25%
Charged with treason • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Minor charges filed • 25%
Yoon convicted • 25%
Major charges filed • 25%
Both Rebellion and Abuse of Power • 25%
Abuse of Power • 25%
Rebellion • 25%
No Charges • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
President Yoon arrested • 25%
President Yoon cleared of charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Other • 25%
Criminal charges filed • 25%
Administrative reprimand • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No charges • 25%
Other • 25%
No charges, but reprimand issued • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Charges filed against Yoon Suk-yeol • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
No charges • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Convicted • 25%