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What will be the outcome of the 2024 election certification process by January 6, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Certified without incident • 25%
Certified with objections • 25%
Certification delayed • 25%
Certification not completed • 25%
Official congressional records and news outlets
Story
Kamala Harris, as President of the Senate, to Certify Trump's 2024 Election Victory
Nov 6, 2024, 09:26 AM
Vice President Kamala Harris, as the President of the Senate, is constitutionally required to preside over the certification of Donald Trump's 2024 presidential election victory. According to the Electoral Count Reform and Presidential Transition Improvement Act of 2022, she must oversee the electoral college vote and formally ratify the results in a joint session of Congress. This act ensures that she cannot interfere with the certification process.
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Donald Trump certified • 25%
Joe Biden certified • 25%
Contested, no certification • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Certified without objection • 25%
Certified with objections • 25%
Not certified • 25%
Postponed • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Challenges upheld • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Certification completed without issues • 25%
Certification completed after legal intervention • 25%
Certification not completed by deadline • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Reversal of results • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Trump wins and is disqualified • 25%
Trump wins and is not disqualified • 25%
Trump loses • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Results upheld • 25%
Results overturned • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Court overturns results in one or more states • 25%
Other • 25%