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What will be the outcome of the Congressional certification of the 2024 Presidential election results on January 6, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Certified without objection • 25%
Certified with objections • 25%
Not certified • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Official Congressional records and news reports
Story
Electoral College Confirms Donald Trump’s Victory with 304 Votes Over Kamala Harris; Certification Set for January 6
Dec 17, 2024, 09:05 PM
On December 17, 2024, the Electoral College convened across all 50 states to formally cast votes for the presidency, confirming Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 election. Trump received 304 electoral votes, surpassing the required 270 to secure the presidency. The electors' votes are set to be certified on January 6, 2025. In various states, including Texas and Florida, Republican electors officially cast their ballots for Trump and his vice-presidential pick, J.D. Vance. This event marks a significant step toward Trump's inauguration as the 47th President of the United States on January 20, 2025. While the process unfolded smoothly in most states, there are reports of alternate elector slates being assembled by Democrats in key swing states, raising the potential for future disputes regarding the election results.
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Donald Trump certified • 25%
Joe Biden certified • 25%
Contested, no certification • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Certified without incident • 25%
Certified with objections • 25%
Certification delayed • 25%
Certification not completed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Reversal of results • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Challenges upheld • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
All key figures present • 25%
Some key figures absent • 25%
Majority of key figures absent • 25%
Unspecified or unknown • 25%