Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Russian military advances near Velika Novosilka by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia captures additional territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Ukraine regains some territory • 25%
Ukraine regains all lost territory • 25%
Reports from UK Defence Intelligence or other credible international defense sources
Story
UK Confirms Russia's Rapid Advances Near Velika Novosilka, Capturing 1600 km2 in Ukraine
Dec 1, 2024, 03:40 PM
The United Kingdom's Defence Intelligence has confirmed that Russia has made "rapid advances" towards Velika Novosilka, a key area for Ukraine's eastern defense. This development follows Ukraine's loss of Vuhledar in October, which has reportedly led to continued territorial losses. Between September 1 and November 30, Russian forces captured over 1,600 square kilometers in Ukraine and regained approximately 500 square kilometers in Kursk. The rate of Russian advances has accelerated monthly, despite heavy losses on their side.
View original story
Similar markets
Capture of Pokrovsk • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainian counteroffensive • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Launch a new offensive • 25%
Defensive operations • 25%
Negotiations for peace • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Significant Russian advances • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Ukrainian advances • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russian forces capture Pokrovsk • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold Pokrovsk • 25%
Stalemate, no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukrainian control • 25%
Russian control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%