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What will be the control status of Vuhledar by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia retains control • 25%
Ukraine regains control • 25%
Joint control or contested • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Reports from UK Defence Intelligence or other credible international defense sources
Story
UK Confirms Russia's Rapid Advances Near Velika Novosilka, Capturing 1600 km2 in Ukraine
Dec 1, 2024, 03:40 PM
The United Kingdom's Defence Intelligence has confirmed that Russia has made "rapid advances" towards Velika Novosilka, a key area for Ukraine's eastern defense. This development follows Ukraine's loss of Vuhledar in October, which has reportedly led to continued territorial losses. Between September 1 and November 30, Russian forces captured over 1,600 square kilometers in Ukraine and regained approximately 500 square kilometers in Kursk. The rate of Russian advances has accelerated monthly, despite heavy losses on their side.
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Controlled by Ukraine • 25%
Controlled by Russia • 25%
Contested • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian forces maintain control • 25%
Ukrainian forces recapture Vodyane • 25%
Control changes multiple times • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Under Ukrainian control • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Disputed • 25%
Controlled by Russia • 25%
Recaptured by Ukraine • 25%
Demilitarized Zone • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Remains under Russian control • 25%
Partially reclaimed by Ukraine • 25%
Fully reclaimed by Ukraine • 25%
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Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
No control • 25%
Under Ukrainian control • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Disputed control • 25%
Ceasefire with joint administration • 25%
Controlled by Russia • 25%
Controlled by Ukraine • 25%
Disputed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Under Ukrainian control • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Contested territory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement in place • 25%