Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Putin's claimed 'Oreshnik' weapon use by January 20, 2025?
2
Vladimir Putin•Oreshnik•Putin•Ukraine•Donald Trump•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Trump•Ukrainian conflict
Resolution / Starting Odds
Weapon used and confirmed effective • 25%
Weapon used but not confirmed effective • 25%
Weapon not used • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and official military assessments
Story
Putin Claims 'Oreshnik' Weapon Matches Sun's Temperature, Aims for Ukraine Offensive Before Trump's Inauguration, Offers Dialogue
Nov 28, 2024, 05:42 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has made remarks regarding the impact of the 'Oreshnik' weapon, claiming its kinetic impact and temperature are comparable to that of the sun's surface. He stated that the weapon affects objects up to four floors underground. Amid escalating tensions, Putin is reportedly attempting to deliver a decisive blow in Ukraine before Donald Trump is inaugurated as the U.S. president. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky accused Putin of trying to disrupt Trump's potential efforts to resolve the conflict, suggesting that Putin aims to escalate the situation to undermine Trump's success in ending the war. Furthermore, Putin expressed a willingness to engage in dialogue with Trump regarding the Ukrainian conflict, should Trump take the initiative after his inauguration.
View original story
Similar markets
Successful tests with no international response • 25%
Successful tests with international condemnation • 25%
Failed tests • 25%
No tests conducted • 25%
Successful tests with no major incidents • 25%
Successful tests with major incidents • 25%
Unsuccessful tests • 25%
Testing halted • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Challenge accepted and conducted • 25%
Challenge accepted but not conducted • 25%
Challenge rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
No launch • 25%
Intercepted • 25%
Hit military target • 25%
Hit civilian target • 25%
Accepted by U.S. • 25%
Rejected by U.S. • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
De-escalation achieved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful test • 33%
Test failure • 33%
Test postponed • 34%
Ukrainian forces expelled from Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Ukrainian advance continues • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%