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What will be the outcome of potential negotiations between Brazil and Nicaragua by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful negotiations and restoration of relations • 25%
Unsuccessful negotiations and further deterioration • 25%
Suspension of negotiations • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%
Official announcements from the Brazilian and Nicaraguan governments or other credible news sources
Story
Brazil's Lula and Nicaragua's Ortega Expel Ambassadors Amid Diplomatic Rift
Aug 8, 2024, 07:20 PM
Brazil and Nicaragua are experiencing a diplomatic rift as both countries have decided to expel each other's ambassadors. Brazil's President Lula has decided to expel Nicaragua's ambassador, a move that deepens the divide between Lula and Nicaragua's leader, Daniel Ortega. In response, Nicaragua is expected to expel Brazil's ambassador on Thursday, who has already left Managua, according to Nicaragua's Vice President Murillo. The expulsion marks a significant deterioration in relations between the two traditionally allied nations.
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Improved • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Severed • 25%
Improved relations and increased trade • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations and decreased trade • 25%
Severed diplomatic and economic ties • 25%
Establish new embassies • 25%
Close existing embassies • 25%
Reassign current ambassadors • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Majority implemented • 25%
Half implemented • 25%
Few implemented • 25%
None implemented • 25%
Relations resume • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No change • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved cooperation • 33%
Continued conflict • 33%
Neutral • 34%
China • 25%
Another country • 25%
No partner selected • 25%
Project abandoned • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%