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Market
Future relationship between X and Brazilian government by end of 2024
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved cooperation • 33%
Continued conflict • 33%
Neutral • 34%
Public statements, official documents
Story
Brazil's Justice Moraes Fines X R$700,000 Over Censorship Non-Compliance, Musk Comments
Jun 30, 2024, 08:32 PM
Brazil Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes has fined X R$700,000 for failing to comply with censorship orders related to posts criticizing a politician. Moraes, who has been involved in political censorship, ordered X to delete the posts within two hours, threatening a R$100,000 fine for non-compliance. Despite X withholding the posts in Brazil, Moraes increased the fine. Elon Musk commented, 'The law is violating the law.'
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Comply with regulations • 25%
Challenge legally • 25%
Circumvent again • 25%
Other • 25%
Reinstate the ban • 25%
Impose fines • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially accessible • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Other • 25%
Regulation without ban • 25%
Total ban on X • 25%
No action • 25%
Other action • 25%
Remains operational without issues • 25%
Experiences another ban • 25%
Withdraws from Brazil voluntarily • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Severed • 25%
Further legal action • 25%
Compliance with additional conditions • 25%
No further action • 25%
Office reopened • 25%
X resumes operations • 25%
Fine is revoked • 25%
Fine is reduced • 25%
No change • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Very Positive • 25%
Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
Reopened and operational • 25%
Closed • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
New restrictions imposed • 25%
Other • 25%